Meet the Farmer Who Predicted 100+ Years of Market Cycles
Unveiling the Mind-Blowing 200-Year-Old Market Predictions of a Farmer-Turned-Financial Prodigy!
It's always interesting to stumble upon new and fascinating stories that shed light on the origins of the discipline.
In recent weeks, I've come across a graph on Twitter that has caught my attention. It's the third time I've seen it in just a week, and until then, I'd never heard of Samuel Brenner or "The Brenner Cycle."
However, after digging deeper into the topic, I've discovered that Brenner was a farmer born in the 1800s who predicted more than 100 years of economic and market cycles.
Brenner's story is intriguing. He was a farmer who lost everything in a financial crisis in 1873. In response to his adverse experience, he started to investigate the causes of market fluctuations and wanted to understand how market cycles worked.
In 1875, he published his book, "Benners Prophecies: Future Ups and Downs in Prices," which predicted the prices of companies and raw materials. Brenner identified different types of years in his book, including years of panic, years of good times, and years of difficult times.
Years of panic are those in which the market enters a state of panic, whether buying or selling stocks irrationally until their prices skyrocket or plummet beyond any expectations.
Good times are years when Brenner identified high prices. These years are the best time to sell stocks, securities, and assets of all kinds.
Difficult times are those in which Brenner recommends buying stocks, goods, and assets. It's important to hold onto them until the years of good times arrive, and then sell them.
What's fascinating about Brenner's research is that he based his conclusions on his knowledge of pig farming and corn production.
He realized that many aspects of the economy were influenced by the climate, which he observed in the 19th century. He also noticed that the climate had cycles of 11 years, even without any scientific knowledge of the subject. Today, it's widely known in the scientific world that solar cycles also last 11 years and can affect phenomena such as droughts, crops, and tides.
Brenner compiled historical tables of prices and production of different products and deduced general rules based on the logic that climate affects production and supply and demand, which affects prices. In a graph he made by hand in 1875, he showed the best years to make money, the years of prosperity, and depression.
What's truly remarkable is that Brenner already marked the year 2023 on the lower end of the graph in section "C," which reads: "Years of hard times, low prices, and good time to buy stocks, "corner lots", goods, etc., and hold till the "Boom" reaches the years of good times; then unload."
It's incredible to see how accurate Brenner's predictions were more than a century ago.
While some might be skeptical of Brenner's research, it's crucial to remember that his work was based on years of observation and analysis of market fluctuations. Brenner's work has stood the test of time, and his predictions continue to be relevant to this day.
In conclusion, Samuel Brenner's story is a fascinating example of how even someone with no formal training in finance can make significant contributions to the field.
His research and predictions demonstrate the importance of understanding market cycles and how they can be influenced by factors beyond economic indicators. We can learn a lot from Brenner's work and apply his insights to our own investment strategies.
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