I was very eager to write this article. As you know, we are staunch advocates of Nassim Taleb's philosophy of being exposed to the highly improbable. This stance allows us to be very well defended against any market situation:
Drops in indices
Interventions at our trusted bank where our funds are held
Volatility in assets like gold, or cryptocurrencies
Falsification of company X or Y's accounting
Inflation
Regardless of the nature of the threat, our portfolio is perfectly protected.
This gives us great peace of mind and allows us to sleep soundly with our investments. This is not the case for the crypto enthusiast who wakes up in the middle of the night to check their memecoin portfolio and sees it has shifted by 35%.
One of the factors we use to determine where to place more or less emphasis in our assets is the macroeconomic cycle.
The rules of the game changed with the intervention of central banks, and we must adapt to the rules, whether we like it or not.
If Bitcoin and the markets are surging as they have been lately, it's not solely due to their own merit but rather the significant depreciation of the markets.
Many refuse to understand this and continue to analyze Apple's balance sheet and debate whether the iPhone 15 PRO is good or bad news. Everyone invests their time as they wish, …
However, when what's at stake is your money, it's better to be cautious.
The article we bring you today is an excellent recap of where we are in the cycle and what we can expect in the coming months.